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Archive for January, 2009

How do Trader Trade Forex

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Forex trading requires analysis of market conditions and forecasting the future. There are two schools of thought in the area of Market Analysis and resulting market movement, these are:

1. Fundamental Analysis:

Fundamental analysis focuses on the economic, social and geo-political forces that drive supply and demand. Fundamental analysts look at various macroeconomic indicators such as economic growth rates, interest rates, inflation, and unemployment. Changes in all such macro-economic indicators of countries whose currencies are being traded have impact on the forex market.

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GBPForex Prediction January 30, 2009

3 Comments

GBP forex Technical Outlook

A corrective/consolidation activity between 1.4112 and 1.4425 is likely for a while

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.4601

R2 : 1.4471

R1 : 1.4391

Pivot : 1.4261

S1 : 1.4131

S2 : 1.4050

S3 : 1.3920

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.3900-1.4540

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 1.288 or 1.2864. Major support is clustered around 1.2746 limit


USD-CHF

A corrective/consolidation activity between 1.1432 and 1.1605 is likely for a while.


USD-JPY

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 90.61 or even 91.21. Supports at 89.75 and 89.45 zone


EUR-JPY

There is bearish potential for a fall to 115.3 while 117.3 – 117.96 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 117.96 or 118.61 is expected


AUD-USD

There is bearish potential for a fall to 0.6466 while 0.6573 – 0.6602 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 0.6602 or 0.6630 is expected


USD-CAD

It should trade higher to 1.2325 or above 1.2383 in extention. Supports at 1.2179 and 1.2208. Stop loss below 1.2150 zone


EUR-CHF

Market should meet resistance at 1.5001. We expect then an extended move down to 1.4914 -1.4749 area


EUR-GBP

Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 0.8988 or 0.8972. Major support is clustered around 0.8832 limit

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2776 1.2870 1.2928 1.3022 1.3116 1.3174 1.3268

USD-CHF

1.1332

1.1398

1.1439

1.1506

1.1572

1.1613

1.1680

USD-JPY

88.86

89.31

89.59

90.04

90.49

90.76

91.21

AUD-USD

0.6408

0.6471

0.6510

0.6572

0.6635

0.6674

0.6736

USD-CAD

1.2032

1.2099

1.2140

1.2207

1.2274

1.2315

1.2382

NZD-USD

0.5038

0.5089

0.5120

0.5172

0.5223

0.5254

0.5306

GBP-JPY

125.27

126.39

127.08

128.19

129.31

130.00

131.18

EUR-GBP

0.8885

0.8979

0.9038

0.9132

0.9226

0.9285

0.9379

EUR-JPY

113.96

115.23

116.02

117.29

118.56

119.34

120.61

EUR-CHF

1.4723

1.4828

1.4893

1.4998

1.5103

1.5168

1.5272

GBPForex Prediction January 28, 2009

4 Comments

GBP forex Technical Outlook

While below 1.4272 it is more likely to fall further towards 1.403 or 1.3958. Premature rise above 1.4272 could see it rising above 1.4415 zone

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.4412

R2 : 1.4293

R1 : 1.4219

Pivot : 1.4099

S1 : 1.3979

S2 : 1.3906

S3 : 1.3786

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.3980-1.4500

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.3245 or even 1.3287. Supports at 1.3139 and 1.3076 zone


USD-CHF

Is expected to fall lower than 1.1272. Entry sell point are at 1.1431 or 1.1470 . Stop loss above 1.1470


USD-JPY

It looks more likely that it would rise to 89.88 from 88.71 or 88.25. After which a downside move is expected


EUR-JPY

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 118.28 or even 118.99. Supports at 116.61 and 115.66 zone


AUD-USD

Resistances lie around 0.6665 and 0.678. It should test lower towards 0.6549 zone. A clear break of 0.6543 would be bearish


USD-CAD

It looks set for gains to above 1.2373. Supports at 1.223 and 1.2264. A break of 1.2195 will damage this bullish structure


EUR-CHF

A corrective/consolidation activity between 1.4973 and 1.5061 is likely for a while.


EUR-GBP

Market should meet resistance at 0.9348. We expect then an extended move down to 0.9282 -0.9211 area.

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2991 1.3072 1.3122 1.3202 1.3283 1.3333 1.3413

USD-CHF

1.1269

1.1316

1.1345

1.1391

1.1438

1.1466

1.1513

USD-JPY

87.51

88.13

88.52

89.14

89.77

90.16

90.78

AUD-USD

0.6488

0.6544

0.6578

0.6634

0.6689

0.6723

0.6779

USD-CAD

1.2081

1.2150

1.2193

1.2262

1.2332

1.2375

1.2444

NZD-USD

0.5204

0.5239

0.5260

0.5295

0.5329

0.5350

0.5385

GBP-JPY

122.43

123.73

124.54

125.85

127.15

127.96

129.27

EUR-GBP

0.9173

0.9240

0.9281

0.9348

0.9415

0.9456

0.9523

EUR-JPY

114.20

115.48

116.27

117.55

118.82

119.61

120.89

EUR-CHF

1.4905

1.4952

1.4982

1.5029

1.5076

1.5105

1.5152

GBPForex Prediction January 27, 2009

1 Comment

GBP forex Technical Outlook

It should trade higher to 1.4143 or above 1.4293 in extention. Supports at 1.3771 and 1.3846. Stop loss below 1.3696 zone

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.4291

R2 : 1.4120

R1 : 1.4015

Pivot : 1.3844

S1 : 1.3674

S2 : 1.3568

S3 : 1.3398

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.3870-1.4250

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

It should trade higher to 1.3311 while 1.3086 or 1.3025 offers support. Stop loss below 1.2964 zone


USD-CHF

There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.1265 while 1.1454 – 1.1509 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.1509 or 1.1564 is expected


USD-JPY

A corrective/consolidation activity between 88.34 and 90.44 is likely for a while


EUR-JPY

It should trade higher to 119.07 while 116.4 or 115.62 offers support. Stop loss below 114.83 zone.


AUD-USD

It should trade higher to 0.6662 while 0.6578 or 0.6546 offers support. Stop loss below 0.6513 zone.


USD-CAD

Current fall is near an end of wave around 1.2032 – 1.2147 zone, a rally should then procede to above 1.2308 or 1.2363. Fall below 1.2005 would cancel this scenario


EUR-CHF

While above 1.4969 – 1.4928 zone a corrective dip could test 1.5009 or 1.5046 or 1.5083. After which it should resume his downtrend


EUR-GBP

While below 0.9382 or 0.9428 it could fall towards below 0.9247. Rise above 0.9472 could activate some bullish pattern

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2738 1.2871 1.2953 1.3085 1.3218 1.3300 1.3432

USD-CHF

1.1155

1.1269

1.1339

1.1453

1.1567

1.1638

1.1752

USD-JPY

87.57

88.11

88.45

89.00

89.54

89.88

90.43

AUD-USD

0.6427

0.6485

0.6520

0.6578

0.6635

0.6671

0.6728

USD-CAD

1.2005

1.2098

1.2156

1.2250

1.2344

1.2402

1.2496

NZD-USD

0.5149

0.5196

0.5226

0.5273

0.5321

0.5350

0.5398

GBP-JPY

117.73

119.80

121.07

123.13

125.20

126.47

128.53

EUR-GBP

0.9246

0.9315

0.9358

0.9427

0.9496

0.9538

0.9608

EUR-JPY

112.14

113.76

114.76

116.38

118.01

119.01

120.63

EUR-CHF

1.4850

1.4910

1.4947

1.5007

1.5067

1.5104

1.5164

Risk Control

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The lure of making big money by way of trading Futures and Commodities is strong, and usually the main focus of every new trader. The amount of time and effort expended in learning the mechanics of trading by each new participant varies, depending on the degree of desire and the time available.

Most new forex traders take a common path. They start off by following the lead of the person or agency that sent them the glossy brochure on making big money easily and quickly trading Futures. Once they have purchased and followed the plan the best they can, they soon become aware of the realities of trading. Profits are not the only thing that comes quickly to forex traders. Losses come just as fast, as normally for most forex traders, more often than profits. And if the trader has managed an even division between profitable trades and losing trades, often the losing trades are much bigger in dollars lost.

Although the purpose of trading is to make a profit overall, it is usually all most forex traders focus on. With so much energy expended on profits to be had, not enough energy is expended on the aspect of risk control.

Risk Control deserves much more attention than most forex traders are willing to give it. With Risk Control, the trader would not settle on simply evaluating potential profit, but also potential loss. It is very important that a lot of attention be given Risk Control before any trade is taken. Additionally, initial risk exposure should be logically determined rather than a flip of the coin or some random percentage. There should be some rhyme and reason to why a certain amount is being risked, and how this initial risk is to be setup when the trade is actually placed.

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GBPForex Prediction January 23, 2009

2 Comments

GBP forex Technical Outlook

It should trade higher to 1.4037 or above 1.4197 in extention. Supports at 1.3783 and 1.3863. Stop loss below 1.3703 zone

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.4197

R2 : 1.4069

R1 : 1.3990

Pivot : 1.3863

S1 : 1.3735

S2 : 1.3656

S3 : 1.3529

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.3550-1.4100

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

Strength can extend to 1.3042 or even higher than 1.3087 as declines are expected to find support at 1.2955 or 1.2912. Stop Loss below 1.2822 zone


USD-CHF

Preferred view is for a fall to below 1.1493 while 1.1528 – 1.1545 area resists. A clear break of 1.1581 would be bullish


USD-JPY

Market should hold major support at 87.76 before rising towards 89.61 or even 90.31 limit


EUR-JPY

It should trade higher to 116.94 or above 118.28 in extention. Supports at 114.79 and 115.46. Stop loss below 114.12 zone 


AUD-USD

While below 0.6522 – 0.6562 it might drop to 0.6482 or below 0.6412 zone


USD-CAD

While below 1.2601 – 1.2643 it might drop to 1.2461 or below 1.2378 zone


EUR-CHF

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.5048 or even 1.5088. Supports at 1.4957 and 1.4906 zone


EUR-GBP

Preferred view is for a fall to below 0.93 while 0.9368 – 0.9384 area resists. A clear break of 0.9451 would be bullish

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2822 1.2889 1.2930 1.2997 1.3064 1.3105 1.3172

USD-CHF

1.1456

1.1489

1.1510

1.1543

1.1577

1.1597

1.1631

USD-JPY

87.36

87.93

88.27

88.83

89.40

89.74

90.31

AUD-USD

0.6407

0.6467

0.6504

0.6563

0.6622

0.6659

0.6719

USD-CAD

1.2375

1.2460

1.2513

1.2598

1.2684

1.2737

1.2822

NZD-USD

0.5155

0.5202

0.5231

0.5278

0.5325

0.5354

0.5401

GBP-JPY

119.02

120.63

121.62

123.23

124.84

125.84

127.45

EUR-GBP

0.9233

0.9290

0.9326

0.9383

0.9440

0.9476

0.9533

EUR-JPY

112.61

113.69

114.36

115.44

116.52

117.18

118.26

EUR-CHF

1.4822

1.4891

1.4934

1.5004

1.5073

1.5116

1.5186

GBPForex Prediction Januari 22, 2009

2 Comments

GBP forex Technical Outlook

Is expected to fall lower than 1.3461. Entry sell point are at 1.3991 or 1.4114 . Stop loss above 1.4114.

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.4273

R2 : 1.4118

R1 : 1.4022

Pivot : 1.3867

S1 : 1.3711

S2 : 1.3615

S3 : 1.3460

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.3600-1.4150

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

It looks set for gains to above 1.3131. Supports at 1.2924 and 1.2978. A break of 1.2870 will damage this bullish structure.


USD-CHF

While below 1.1639 it is more likely to fall further towards 1.1459 or 1.1406 level


USD-JPY

Market should hold major support at 86.83 before rising towards 90.72 or even 91.97 limit


EUR-JPY

Market should hold major support at 111.95 before rising towards 118.46 or even 120.39 limit.


AUD-USD

It should be subject to more sell off towards 0.6496 or 0.6374. Corrective upward swings should face resistance around 0.6736 area. A break of 0.67395 is bullish


USD-CAD

While below 1.2621 or 1.2658 it could fall towards below 1.2477 or 1.2403. After which a corrective/consolidation activity is expected


EUR-CHF

Current rise seems to be over near 1.5036 or 1.5136 for a retracement towards 1.4936 – 1.4879 area


EUR-GBP

Should test support at 0.9253 while below 0.9329. If support at 0.9253 holds it can rise up to 0.9418, if not it should fall to below 0.9176 zone

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2716 1.2816 1.2878 1.2977 1.3077 1.3139 1.3239

USD-CHF

1.1278

1.1367

1.1422

1.1511

1.1600

1.1654

1.1743

USD-JPY

85.88

87.04

87.75

88.91

90.07

90.79

91.95

AUD-USD

0.6374

0.6451

0.6499

0.6577

0.6654

0.6702

0.6779

USD-CAD

1.2402

1.2486

1.2537

1.2621

1.2705

1.2757

1.2841

NZD-USD

0.5084

0.5159

0.5206

0.5281

0.5357

0.5403

0.5479

GBP-JPY

116.80

119.32

120.89

123.41

125.94

127.50

130.02

EUR-GBP

0.9176

0.9239

0.9278

0.9340

0.9403

0.9442

0.9505

EUR-JPY

110.28

112.15

113.31

115.18

117.05

118.21

120.09

EUR-CHF

1.4614

1.4737

1.4812

1.4935

1.5057

1.5133

1.5255

Ten Laws of Technical Trading

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John Murphy is a very popular author, columnist, and speaker on the subject of Technical Analysis. John’s “Ten Laws of Technical Trading” is the best guide available anywhere for people who are new to the field of charting. I urge you to print out this page and refer to it often. If you find this information useful, consider subscribing to John’s Market Message Service.

Which way is the market moving? How far up or down will it go? And when will it go the other way?

These are the basic concerns of the technical analyst. Behind the charts and graphs and mathematical formulas used to analyze market trends are some basic concepts that apply to most of the theories employed by today’s technical analysts.

The following are John’s ten most important rules of technical trading:

1. Map the Trends

2. Spot the Trend and Go With It

3. Find the Low and High of It

4. Know How Far to Backtrack

5. Draw the Line

6. Follow That Average

7. Learn the Turns

8. Know the Warning Signs

9. Trend or Not a Trend?

10. Know the Confirming Signs

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GBPForex Prediction Jan 20, 2009

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GBP forex Technical Outlook

There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.4254 while 1.4581 – 1.4665 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.4665 or 1.4748 is expected.

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.5072

R2 : 1.4884

R1 : 1.4768

Pivot : 1.4581

S1 : 1.4393

S2 : 1.4277

S3 : 1.4089

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.4180-1.4580

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

While below 1.3174 – 1.3227 it might drop to 1.2960 or below 1.2854 zone


USD-CHF

It should trade higher to 1.142 while 1.1272 or 1.1235 offers support. Stop loss below 1.1197 zone


USD-JPY

Preferred view is for a fall to below 90.1 while 90.65 – 90.70 area resists. A clear break of 91.25 would be bullish.


EUR-JPY

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 120.31 or even 120.93. Supports at 118.46 and 117.23 zone


AUD-USD

Preferred view is for a fall to below 0.6606 while 0.6668 – 0.6724 area resists. A clear break of 0.6783 would be bullish


USD-CAD

Difficult to predict the next move. If first down it should hold 1.2457 or 1.2418 to 1.2614. If first up it should face resistance in 1.2555 – 1.2614 zone to 1.2418 zone


EUR-CHF

There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.4878 or even 1.4903. Supports at 1.4815 and 1.4776 zone


EUR-GBP

Currently uptrend should end around 0.9097 – 0.9114 area. A correction down to below 0.8987 is expected. A rise above 0.9167 will abort the expected correction

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.2855 1.2976 1.3051 1.3173 1.3294 1.3369 1.3491

USD-CHF

1.1046

1.1132

1.1185

1.1271

1.1356

1.1409

1.1495

USD-JPY

89.55

89.98

90.25

90.68

91.12

91.39

91.82

AUD-USD

0.6547

0.6615

0.6656

0.6723

0.6791

0.6832

0.6899

USD-CAD

1.2294

1.2371

1.2418

1.2494

1.2570

1.2617

1.2693

NZD-USD

0.5241

0.5311

0.5354

0.5423

0.5492

0.5535

0.5604

GBP-JPY

126.92

128.98

130.26

132.32

134.37

135.65

137.71

EUR-GBP

0.8908

0.8957

0.8987

0.9036

0.9085

0.9115

0.9164

EUR-JPY

115.97

117.39

118.26

119.67

121.09

121.96

123.37

EUR-CHF

1.4724

1.4772

1.4802

1.4849

1.4897

1.4927

1.4975

GBPForex Prediction Jan 19,2009

1 Comment

GBP forex Technical Outlook

Resistances lie around 1.4864 and 1.5137. It should test lower towards 1.4590 zone. A clear break of 1.4628 would be bearish

- weekly : trend up

R3 : 1.5139

R2 : 1.5004

R1 : 1.4921

Pivot : 1.4787

S1 : 1.4652

S2 : 1.4569

S3 : 1.4434

Today prediction range Gbp/Usd : 1.4740-1.5000

Other Technical Outlooks


EUR-USD

Current rise seems to be over near 1.3317 or 1.3386 for a retracement towards 1.3247 – 1.3199 area


USD-CHF

It is likely to fall towards 1.1103 as its corrective rally could falter in 1.1211 – 1.1177 area. Stop above 1.1245 zone


USD-JPY

While below 91.08 it is more likely to fall further towards 90.16 or 89.9. Premature rise above 91.08 could see it rising above 91.59 zone


EUR-JPY

Current rise seems to be over near 120.55 or 121.49 for a retracement towards 119.62 – 119.07 area


AUD-USD

While below 0.6807 it is more likely to fall further towards 0.6678 or 0.6638. Premature rise above 0.6807 could see it rising above 0.6886 zone


USD-CAD

It should trade higher to above 1.2599 while 1.2457 offer support. Minor support at 1.2398. Stop Loss below 1.2197 zone


EUR-CHF

Current upmove should continue up to 1.4906 or 1.4967. Any correction should find support in 1.4823 – 1.4793 zone


EUR-GBP

Difficult to predict the next move. If first down it should hold 0.8928 or 0.8889 to 0.909. If first up it should face resistance in 0.9029 – 0.9090 zone to 0.8889 zone

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3

EUR-USD

1.3004 1.3094 1.3149 1.3239 1.3328 1.3384 1.3474

USD-CHF

1.1045

1.1098

1.1131

1.1184

1.1237

1.1270

1.1323

USD-JPY

89.26

89.71

89.98

90.43

90.88

91.16

91.61

AUD-USD

0.6548

0.6613

0.6653

0.6718

0.6782

0.6822

0.6887

USD-CAD

1.2181

1.2280

1.2342

1.2441

1.2541

1.2602

1.2648

NZD-USD

0.5309

0.5368

0.5404

0.5463

0.5522

0.5559

0.5618

GBP-JPY

129.70

131.37

132.40

134.08

135.75

136.79

138.46

EUR-GBP

0.8760

0.8836

0.8884

0.8961

0.9038

0.9085

0.9161

EUR-JPY

116.66

117.80

118.50

119.63

120.77

121.47

122.60

EUR-CHF

1.4672

1.4726

1.4759

1.4812

1.4866

1.4899

1.4952

Disclaimer
This information is free. But we are not guarantee that our prediction is true and give you profit. Use this Information wisely. trading currencies at forex markets not really easy. Learn forex trading with forex trading course at forex trading online for managed your forex tradings.
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